SEASONAL-TO-DECADAL PREDICTIONS WITH THE ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER AND THE NORWEGIAN EARTH SYSTEM MODEL: A TWIN EXPERIMENT

Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble Kalman filter and the Norwegian Earth System Model: a twin experiment

Here, we firstly demonstrate the potential of an advanced flow dependent data assimilation method for performing seasonal-to-decadal prediction and secondly, reassess the use of sea surface temperature (SST) for initialisation of these forecasts.We use the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM), which is based on the Norwegian Earth System Mod

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